Exploiting the Matchups: Week 13 Start/Sit

Exploiting the Matchups: Week 13 Start/Sit

This article is part of our Exploiting the Matchups series.

Unless otherwise noted, references to 'fantasy points' are based on PPR scoring with 25/10 yards per point and 4/6 points for TDs. Start % comes from Yahoo, as of Thursday morning.

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Quarterbacks

  

Kirk Cousins (at DET)

45% started

I don't really buy that Cousins is more valuable without Dalvin Cook* in the lineup, but I do buy that he's more valuable against defenses that can't cover. The Lions are 30th in pass-defense DVOA and 32nd in NY/A (7.5), allowing a modest number of fantasy points to QBs for one reason and one reason only — they've faced a league-low 340 attempts, 30.9 per game. Fortunately, 30 or so passes should be enough for Cousins to thrive, even if he's perhaps a secondary attraction to Alexander Mattison for fantasy purposes

*Over the past three years, Cousins has averaged 20.9 points in 38 games with Cook, compared to 23.6 points in five games without Cook. That's not definitive, but it's at least interesting... less so once you see the results from 2018 (when Cook missed five games and wasn't yet considered an elite RB). That year, Cousins averaged 21.6 per game with Cook and 20.2 without him. Overall, for the four years they've been together, Cousins has averaged 21.1 points in 48 games with Cook, compared to 21.9 points in 10 games without him. That's inconclusive, in my opinion.

    

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Jerry Donabedian
Jerry was a 2018 finalist for the FSWA's Player Notes Writer of the Year and DFS Writer of the Year awards. A Baltimore native, Jerry roots for the Ravens and watches "The Wire" in his spare time.
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