Nick Senzel

Nick Senzel

26-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Cincinnati Reds
2022 Fantasy Outlook
Senzel's 2021 season started in ominous fashion as he left the Reds' Opening Day game in the fourth inning after a diving attempt in center field. The shoulder injury suffered that day turned out to be relatively minor, but Senzel battled heel and knee issues shortly thereafter and was under the knife for left knee surgery by the end of May. The Reds optioned Senzel to Triple-A Louisville upon his activation from the 60-day injured list in mid-August since he was still noticeably favoring his left knee while on the field. A late-season return to the majors was quietly taken off the table in early September. With his progress up in the air during the lockout, Senzel is left as an even bigger question mark than he's always been between the injuries and lack of a defensive home. Cincinnati deserves criticism for how its handled Senzel, but at the same time, the former top prospect has done little when healthy. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#406
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $1.25 million contract with the Reds in March of 2022.
Four hits in blowout win
OFCincinnati Reds
May 26, 2022
Senzel went 4-for-4 with one RBI and three runs scored in Thursday's victory over the Cubs.
ANALYSIS
Senzel went 4-for-4 with four singles and two walks and came around to score three times. It was the center fielder's fourth multi-hit game of the season and his third career four-hit contest.
Read More News
Batting Stats
Loading Batting Stats...
2022
2021
2020
2019
2022 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Batting Game Log...
2021 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Batting Game Log...
2020 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Batting Game Log...
2019 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Batting Game Log...
Minor League Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Minor League Batting Game Log...
Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
10
1
1
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
2
3
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+68%
OPS vs RHP
2022
 
 
+419%
OPS vs RHP
2021
 
 
+20%
OPS vs LHP
2020
 
 
+99%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020vs Left .398 71 3 1 3 1 .138 .183 .215
Since 2020vs Right .669 191 28 3 16 3 .246 .309 .360
2022vs Left .132 23 1 0 0 0 .045 .087 .045
2022vs Right .685 40 4 1 3 0 .256 .275 .410
2021vs Left .739 20 1 0 1 1 .333 .350 .389
2021vs Right .618 104 17 1 7 1 .237 .317 .301
2020vs Left .383 28 1 1 2 0 .080 .143 .240
2020vs Right .761 47 7 1 6 2 .256 .319 .442
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+9%
OPS at Home
2022
 
 
+44%
OPS at Home
2021
 
 
+2%
OPS at Home
2020
 
 
+6%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020Home .619 139 20 4 11 2 .194 .281 .339
Since 2020Away .570 123 11 0 8 2 .241 .268 .302
2022Home .578 30 3 1 2 0 .207 .233 .345
2022Away .401 33 2 0 1 0 .156 .182 .219
2021Home .645 59 12 1 3 0 .204 .339 .306
2021Away .630 65 6 0 5 2 .290 .308 .323
2020Home .610 50 5 2 6 2 .174 .240 .370
2020Away .644 25 3 0 2 0 .227 .280 .364
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Nick Senzel compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.25
 
BB Rate
4.5%
 
K Rate
17.9%
 
BABIP
.196
 
ISO
.094
 
AVG
.172
 
OBP
.209
 
SLG
.266
 
OPS
.475
 
wOBA
.215
 
Exit Velocity
86.4 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
26.9%
 
Barrels/PA
1.3%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
Loading Advanced Batting Stats...
Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
Loading Games Played by Position...
Loading MLB Defensive Stats...
Batted Ball Stats
Loading Batted Ball Stats...
Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
Want more matchup stats?
Loading Matchup Stats...
Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
Subscribe Now
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Nick Senzel
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
18 days ago
Jan Levine looks at a couple players who should return soon and produce decent numbers.
FanDuel MLB: Saturday Picks
26 days ago
Chris Bennett is targeting Ronald Acuna after his rest day Friday, as the Braves lineup appears to be heating up.
FanDuel MLB: Friday Targets
27 days ago
Chris Bennett likes the look of a Yankees bat stack Friday against Kansas City.
Bernie on the Scene: What I Saw in Arizona Spring Training, Part Two
38 days ago
Bernie Pleskoff offers his observations of spring training Cactus League games, including thoughts on White Sox pitcher Dylan Cease.
MLB FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
49 days ago
Jason Shebilske analyzes the top waiver options for the opening week of baseball, including the Royals' Hunter Dozier, who is coming off a strong spring.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
Injuries and illness ruined another season for Senzel in 2020, as he played in only 23 games. The second overall pick in 2016, Senzel hasn't yet managed to make it through a full season as a professional since 2017, playing in less than half of the allotted season in two of the last three years. Illness, mostly in the form of a trip to the COVID-19 reserve list, was the primary culprit, but he also missed time with a sprained left ring finger and a groin injury. It's pretty easy to dismiss Senzel's 2020 hitting stats, given how much time he missed and how he was in-and-out of the lineup even after returning. Suffice to say, he did not take the next step, hitting .186/.247/.357 in 77 plate appearances. Manager David Bell aggressively platooned, both with his starting lineup and with in-game changes, often costing Senzel plate appearances too, which in turn places a drag on his value in mixed league formats.
Your assessment of Senzel's 2019 season depends on your expectations. The 2016 second overall pick was sent down before Opening Day and subsequently injured his ankle in spring training, delaying his major-league debut until May. Upon his arrival, Senzel didn't exactly dominate, turning in a .256/.315/.427 season with a 24.7 K% and 14 stolen bases. That's not a bad season for an average rookie, but insufficient considering his 198 ADP in the NFBC Main Event. A red flag was his 87.7 mph average exit velocity, which ranked well below league average. One thing to watch for is to see if he starts pulling the ball more -- in the minors he consistently pulled the ball over 40% of the time, but last year that dropped to 34%. Senzel also still hasn't had a full healthy season. Between the ankle injury and a season-ending torn shoulder labrum that required surgery, he played only 104 games in 2019.
Senzel has hit at least .305, notched an ISO of at least .171 and a wRC+ of at least 147 in every full-season league he's played in while never striking out more than 20.2% of the time. He exhibits five-category potential, stealing eight bases on 10 attempts in 44 games last year and grading out as an above-average runner. Unfortunately, vertigo was an issue for the second straight season -- he missed the final week of 2017 with the condition and it cost him most of May last year. He also missed the final two months of 2018 with a broken right index finger. There is little precedent for the vertigo issue, and it adds a small layer of risk to what would otherwise seem like a risk-free profile. Defensively, Senzel can play second base and third base, but worked in left field during instructs and may eventually debut in center field, given the Reds' offseason moves. He could retain multi-position eligibility in a handful of his early big-league seasons.
A five-tool third baseman, Senzel has separated himself from the rest of the hitting prospects who went in the first round of the 2016 draft. His above-average speed makes him unique among corner-infield prospects, and in the second half of last year he started to tap into his plus raw power. Senzel hit 11 professional home runs in 130 pro games before being promoted to the Southern League, where he hit 10 long balls in just 57 games and led the league with a 184 wRC+, despite playing his home games in the pitcher-friendly ballpark in Pensacola. His season came to an odd conclusion when he was shut down in late August with symptoms of vertigo -- a condition worth tracking as spring training begins. Assuming everything checks out OK on the health front, he should begin the year at Triple-A Louisville and enter the big-league lineup as soon as the Reds find a way to make room for him at third base, which may prove difficult, given how well their infielders performed in 2017.
Cincinnati continued the trend of teams taking advanced college hitters early in the draft over top arms, selecting Senzel with the second overall pick in June. He quickly established himself as the class of the farm system, posting a .982 OPS with Low-A Dayton. His excellent approach and plate skills were on full display, with Senzel managing a 12.9 percent walk rate and a sub-20 percent strikeout rate while hitting for notable power in a spacious home park. In fact, Senzel finished third on the team in home runs despite playing only 58 games. He also runs well for his size, and could offer 10-20 steals annually in his first couple years in the big leagues. With a well-rounded skill set, Senzel could rise quickly through the Reds' system, perhaps reaching the upper levels before the end of 2017. He's already a top-30 prospect for fantasy purposes and may be in the top-10 discussion by season's end.
More Fantasy News
Activated from injured list
OFCincinnati Reds
May 23, 2022
Senzel (illness) was reinstated from the COVID-19 injured list Monday.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Ready to return
OFCincinnati Reds
Illness
May 23, 2022
Senzel (illness) will be in the Reds' lineup Monday, Charlie Goldsmith of The Cincinnati Enquirer reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Rehab assignment begins Wednesday
OFCincinnati Reds
Illness
May 18, 2022
Senzel (illness) will begin a rehab assignment at Triple-A Louisville on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Nearing rehab assignment
OFCincinnati Reds
Illness
May 15, 2022
Manager David Bell said Sunday the Reds are targeting Wednesday for Senzel (illness) to begin a minor-league rehab assignment, Charlie Goldsmith of The Cincinnati Enquirer reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Likely to need rehab assignment
OFCincinnati Reds
Illness
May 11, 2022
Reds manager David Bell said Wednesday that Senzel (illness) is expected to require a minor-league rehab assignment once he clears all COVID-19-related protocols, Charlie Goldsmith of The Cincinnati Enquirer reports. "With Nick, it kind of depends if he's back in the next few days, maybe the end of next week he might go play a few games and be back for the homestand [that begins May 23]," Bell said, regarding when Senzel might come off the COVID-19 injured list.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.