Alex Bregman

Alex Bregman

28-Year-Old Third Baseman3B
Houston Astros
2022 Fantasy Outlook
While the temptation is to chalk up the worst season of Bregman's career to losing over 10 weeks with quadriceps and hamstring injuries, he was slashing only .275/.359/.428 when he was put on the IL in mid-June, compared to .261/.348/.412 after returning in late August. Bregman has never lit up his Statcast page, with his power being a product of a high pull rate at home and on the road. His contact rate remains excellent, but Bregman's 40.8% groundball rate was a career high, dampening power. Bregman underwent wrist surgery in November which could explain a .737 OPS after Sept. 1 and a .604 mark in 16 playoff games. Bregman's plate skills provide a strong batting average and on base floor. The name brand and the allure of 2019's Happy Fun Ball season raise Bregman's price above his true talent level. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#88
ADP
$Signed a five-year, $100 million contract extension with the Astros in March of 2019.
Drives in two
3BHouston Astros
May 11, 2022
Bregman went 2-for-3 with a double, a walk and two RBI on Tuesday against the Twins.
ANALYSIS
Bregman delivered an RBI double in the fifth inning and followed that up with a sacrifice fly one frame later. Across his last six games, he has gone 7-for-19 with three doubles, a home run, six RBI and four runs scored. That performance has raised Bregman's ISO to .214 across 117 plate appearances on the season, a significant improvement over his .152 mark in 2021.
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Batting Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
22
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
13
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+6%
OPS vs LHP
2022
 
 
+53%
OPS vs RHP
2021
 
 
+13%
OPS vs LHP
2020
 
 
+33%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020vs Left .817 249 29 7 27 0 .274 .373 .443
Since 2020vs Right .770 477 63 16 72 1 .248 .344 .426
2022vs Left .580 52 3 1 3 0 .156 .269 .311
2022vs Right .885 97 16 4 19 0 .273 .392 .494
2021vs Left .839 141 19 4 19 0 .300 .397 .442
2021vs Right .744 259 35 8 36 1 .254 .332 .412
2020vs Left .985 56 7 2 5 0 .319 .411 .574
2020vs Right .738 121 12 4 17 0 .214 .331 .408
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+3%
OPS at Home
2022
 
 
+47%
OPS at Home
2021
 
 
+14%
OPS on Road
2020
 
 
+12%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020Home .794 338 44 9 48 0 .260 .364 .431
Since 2020Away .773 391 48 14 51 1 .251 .343 .430
2022Home .974 53 7 2 9 0 .311 .396 .578
2022Away .661 96 12 3 13 0 .182 .323 .338
2021Home .725 201 26 5 29 0 .244 .333 .392
2021Away .830 199 28 7 26 1 .297 .377 .453
2020Home .850 84 11 2 10 0 .269 .417 .433
2020Away .757 96 8 4 12 0 .221 .292 .465
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Alex Bregman compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a batter in feet per second.
BB/K
1.09
 
BB Rate
15.6%
 
K Rate
14.3%
 
BABIP
.235
 
ISO
.190
 
AVG
.230
 
OBP
.351
 
SLG
.421
 
OPS
.771
 
wOBA
.342
 
Exit Velocity
83.1 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
31.8%
 
Barrels/PA
8.6%
 
Sprint Speed
20.6
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
Everyone knew that 2020 was going to be a rough season for Bregman given all the attention regarding TrashcanGate. He rubbed many the wrong way with his attitude toward the whole thing, and gave the haters plenty of fuel with his rather lackluster 2020 performance. Bregman's slash line by season's end included a career-low batting average, his second-lowest OBP, and the worst SLG of his career. He continued to draw walks and not strike out much, which shows that his ability to hit was not solely built upon the banging of a receptacle. He did miss a chunk of time with hamstring injury, but even his confident persona would admit the season was a bust. He no longer has dual position eligibility on draft day, but a healthy Bregman playing in Minute Maid Field should resume his above-average offensive production. Lean more toward 2017 than 2019.
This is what 80-grade plate skills look like: a 17.2 BB% and 12 K% over 690 PA as a 25-year-old. It was Bregman's second straight year with more walks than strikeouts, and he added 10 home runs to his 2018 total. Batting mostly 2-4 in one of the American League's most prolific offenses, Bregman finished with 234 runs-plus-RBI, ranking fourth in MLB, and added a handful of steals en route to a second-place finish in the MVP voting. There is some evidence to suggest he was one of the biggest beneficiaries of the juiced ball, but you're not buying Bregman for 40-plus homers. You're buying him because he has arguably the highest four-category floor in the game for anyone not named Mike Trout or Nolan Arenado. Bregman has reached 155 games played in each of the last three years and the Astros will be returning most of their offense around him. He maintains shortstop- and 3B-eligibility heading into 2020.
Bregman's coming-out party in the 2017 World Series may have moved his draft-day price to an uncomfortable level, but he rewarded investors by blossoming into one of the sport's top hitters. A more selective approach has been the key, as he bumped his BB/K from 0.29 to 1.13 in the span of two years. Bregman made the most of the contact gains, too, raising his ISO by 55 points en route to a 31-homer campaign. While Bregman lost out on some steals, he was still an asset on the bases with 10 thefts, atoning for the decline there with big outputs in the other major counting categories. The year-to-year growth he's already shown makes it tough to bank on Bregman reaching another level, but his age and the support of a stacked lineup at least make it a possibility. He underwent arthroscopic surgery on his right elbow in January and is expected to be limited at the start of spring training, potentially pushing him out of the first round.
Bregman took a while to find his footing at the big-league level, but he grew very comfortable by the end of 2017, finishing with a .315/.367/.536 line in the second half. He carried that momentum into the postseason and showed his mettle with homers off Chris Sale (2), Clayton Kershaw and Kenley Jansen en route to a World Series win. Bregman puts the ball in play consistently (15.5 percent strikeout rate) and he walked at an above-average clip last season (8.8 percent) while making hard contact with roughly one-third of his batted balls. At 23 years old, he has good instincts on the basepaths (17-for-22) and has already cemented himself into the two hole in one of baseball's best lineups. There's a ton to like here even at an inflated cost coming off the postseason run; think Anthony Rendon-lite with more speed and shortstop eligibility, and without the injury history.
Bregman has been in professional baseball for all of two seasons, and all he has done is hit. He had more walks than strikeouts at the minor league level and hit .300/.388/.503 with 24 homers and 20 steals in the minors in what equated to a full season of 679 plate appearances across all levels. He held his own at the major league level after just 83 plate appearances at Triple-A. Following a 2-for-42 start in the majors, Bregman hit .313/.354/.577 the rest of the way, showing his ability to quickly adjust against top-level pitching. He is projected to hit in the top third of the lineup between George Springer and Jose Altuve which should help him become a very productive third baseman in 2017.
Following three successful seasons at LSU (.334/.407/.517) where he established himself as one of the top college hitters available, Bregman was selected by the Astros with the second overall pick in the 2015 first-year player draft. In 66 games between Low-A Quad Cities and High-A Lancaster last season, Bregman hit .294/.366/.415 with four home runs, 34 RBI and 13 steals with a 30:29 K:BB. The 21-year-old played shortstop in college and throughout his first professional season, but his future position probably hinges on the health of Carlos Correa and Jose Altuve when he is ready to debut. The Astros could also look to deal Bregman if he is ready for primetime and they don't have a spot for him. A ticket to Double-A Corpus Christi is likely at some point in 2016, if not to begin the year, but a jump to the majors will likely have to wait until 2017 unless there is an injury in the big league infield.
More Fantasy News
Slugs fifth homer
3BHouston Astros
May 9, 2022
Bregman went 1-for-3 with a solo home run, a walk and two runs scored Sunday against the Tigers.
ANALYSIS
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Drives in three
3BHouston Astros
May 4, 2022
Bregman went 3-for-3 with a double, two runs scored and three RBI on Wednesday against the Mariners.
ANALYSIS
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Receives rare off day
3BHouston Astros
May 1, 2022
Bregman is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Blue Jays.
ANALYSIS
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Smacks fourth homer
3BHouston Astros
April 29, 2022
Bregman went 1-for-4 with a solo home run, two walks and three runs scored Friday against the Blue Jays.
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Reaches base four times
3BHouston Astros
April 24, 2022
Bregman went 2-for-3 with a double, two walks and an RBI on Sunday against Toronto.
ANALYSIS
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