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| Recent Blog Post: 2013 W-L Predictions: Money Talks |
Vegas has now posted their win totals and World Series odds for each team, giving the savvy bettor an opportunity to wager before bookmakers can adjust. Even though the first exhibition games have yet to be played, we have a sense as to how teams will perform in 2013. Here are my Win-Loss projections, along with the Vegas lines on Wins, Winning the Pennant, and Winning the World Series, with a few wagers I like thrown in for good measure.
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AL EAST
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W
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L
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WINS
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PENNANT
|
WS
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New York Yankees
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89
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73
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86.5
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13-2
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+1250
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Tampa Bay Rays
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88
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74
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85
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12-1
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+1600
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Toronto Blue Jays
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83
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79
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86.5
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12-1
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+1600
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Baltimore Orioles
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81
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81
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76.5
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20-1
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+5000
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Boston Red Sox
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76
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86
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79.5
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14-1
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+2000
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AL CENTRAL
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W
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L
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WINS
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PENNANT
|
WS
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Detroit Tigers
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91
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71
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90
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4-1
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+800
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Chicago White Sox
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83
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79
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80.5
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20-1
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+4000
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Kansas City Royals
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81
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81
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79
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25-1
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+5000
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Cleveland Indians
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77
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85
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77.5
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20-1
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+9000
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Minnesota Twins
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65
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97
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64.5
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50-1
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+10000
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AL WEST
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W
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L
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WINS
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PENNANT
|
WS
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Los Angeles Angels
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92
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70
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89.5
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9-2
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+600
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Texas Rangers
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88
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74
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87
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13-2
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+1500
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Oakland Athletics
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86
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76
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83
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16-1
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+3200
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Seattle Mariners
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75
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87
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76.5
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40-1
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+7000
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Houston Astros
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63
|
99
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59.5
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100-1
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+25000
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NL EAST
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W
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L
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WINS
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PENNANT
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WS
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Washington Nationals
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92
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70
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90
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15-4
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+800
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Atlanta Braves
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89
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73
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86
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7-1
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+1500
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Philadelphia Phillies
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81
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81
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81.5
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25-1
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+1650
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New York Mets
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73
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89
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74
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40-1
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+8800
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Miami Marlins
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61
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101
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64.5
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50-1
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+20000
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NL CENTRAL
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W
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L
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WINS
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PENNANT
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WS
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Cincinnati Reds
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91
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71
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89.5
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6-1
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+1200
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St. Louis Cardinals
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85
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77
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85.5
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9-1
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+1800
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Milwaukee Brewers
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81
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81
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79.5
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18-1
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+5000
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Pittsburgh Pirates
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77
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85
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79
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25-1
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+6500
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Chicago Cubs
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75
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87
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72
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40-1
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+10000
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NL WEST
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W
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L
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WINS
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PENNANT
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WS
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Los Angeles Dodgers
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91
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71
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89.5
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4-1
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+650
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San Francisco Giants
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86
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76
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86
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7-1
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+1000
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Arizona Diamondbacks
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83
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79
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81.5
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25-1
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+5000
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San Diego Padres
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76
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86
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74.5
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40-1
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+8500
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Colorado Rockies
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71
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91
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71.5
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50-1
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+10000
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Orioles over 76.5 wins
It seems like everyone, including Vegas, does not believe the Orioles can repeat their incredible 2012 season win total of 93. They certainly had a lot of favorable bounces last year, but are still a solid team with Matt Wieters, Jim Johnson and Adam Jones. Even with a Baltimore chop to .500 in 2013, their 81 wins are 4.5 more than the line, and the largest differential among my predictions.
Blue Jays under 86.5 wins
Am I the only person who thinks an increase of nearly 14 wins from last season is a bit of a reach for Toronto? The new-look Blue Jays won just 73 games last season, but are being picked by many to win the uber-competitive AL East. Jose Reyes is good, but not that good, and I just do not see that much improvement, or a trip to the post-season in 2013.
Astros over 59.5 wins
When was the last time any franchise had three consecutive 100-loss seasons in a row? The Detroit Tigers did it from 1994-96. And, in the past 50 years, only one other franchise, the New York Mets, has done so (1962-65). It will not be easy, but the team that scored the fewest runs in baseball will be helped by their move to the AL and the addition of the designated hitter. The Astros have a .465 winning percentage against the AL, a mark they have achieved only twice in the past six seasons in the NL. As a result, I believe they will narrowly avoid 100 losses in 2013.
Marlins under 64.5 wins
The same cannot be said for Miami. With Houston moving to the AL, and a roster that was decimated by the epic-fail that was their trade with Toronto, the Marlins should be able to claim the worst record in the NL. Without Reyes, Mark Buehrle or Josh Johnson, the 2013 season will not make the Miami-Dade County $2.4 billion debt any easier to swallow.
Dodgers 4-1 to win NL Pennant
On paper, the Washington Nationals may be the best team in baseball, adding Dan Haren, Rafael Soriano and Denard Span to their roster. But, as a lifelong Yankees fan, I know that money talks. Adding Zack Greinke to a pitching rotation that already has Clayton Kershaw, Josh Beckett and Chris Capuano makes Los Angeles and their league-leading $213 million payroll my pick to win the NL Pennant.
Value Bet: Giants 7-1 to win NL Pennant
They are still the champs until someone beats them.
Angels 9-2 to win AL Pennant
The Detroit Tigers, with the 2011 and 2012 MVPs, Justin Verlander and Miguel Cabrera, will run away with the division this year, and be the first to clinch a playoff spot. But, the lack of competition during the regular season will be their downfall, losing to Josh Hamilton and the Angels in the AL Championship, setting the stage for an all Los Angeles World Series. Not surprisingly, the Angels $152 million payroll is second only to the Yankees in the AL, but that includes the $27.5 million being paid to Alex Rodriguez, who may not play until July.
Value Bet: Rays 12-1 to win AL Pennant
Their chances improve greatly if they edge out New York for the AL East title, avoiding the Wild Card play-in game.
Angels +600 to win World Series
Free-agent Hamilton helps bring home the championship that 2012 free-agents Albert Pujols and C.J. Wilson could not.
Value Bet: Rays +1600 to win World Series
Posted by rkinigson at 2/20/2013 7:49:00 AM |
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Recent Los Angeles Angels Player News
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| RotoWire Update |
Recommendation |
| Ryan Madson (P) ANA |
5/21/2013 |
| Madson (elbow) will report to Triple-A Salt Lake later this week to resume his rehab assignment, the Orange County Register reports. |
Madson is scheduled for a workout Wednesday in Anaheim, and if all goes well, he will head out to begin a rehab assignment with Triple-A team. It's not entirely clear how many minor league outings Madson will throw before rejoining the big club, but he should join the Angels sometime in June barring any setbacks. |
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| Jered Weaver (P) ANA |
5/21/2013 |
| Manager Mike Scioscia believes Weaver (elbow) could be ready to rejoin the Angels after pitching in extended spring training Wednesday, Bill Shaikin of the LA Times reports. |
The Angels are in desperate need of Weaver's return with the squad currently owning a 4.77 team ERA, so it would not be surprising to see him return to the big club after Wednesday's outing. Assuming Weaver pitches on normal rest moving forward, he could be activated from the disabled list as soon as Monday if all goes well in Wednesday's outing. |
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| Kevin Jepsen (P) ANA |
5/21/2013 |
| Jepsen (shoulder) expects to be activated from the disabled list after making two more rehab appearances with Triple-A Salt Lake, the Orange County Register reports. |
Jepsen, who pitched in his first rehab outing Sunday, is scheduled to throw Wednesday and Friday with Salt Lake. Barring any setbacks, he is on track to return to the big club by early next week. |
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| Tommy Hanson (P) ANA |
5/21/2013 |
| Hanson is unlikely to start Saturday in the open spot in the Angels' rotation, Bill Shaikin of the LA Times reports. |
Hanson has been away from the team for nearly two weeks due to a personal matter, and while he has reported to extended spring training to resume baseball activities, it appears he will not start for the Angels again until next week at the earliest. |
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| Sean Burnett (P) ANA |
5/21/2013 |
| Burnett (forearm) was activated from the 15-day disabled list Tuesday. |
Burnett has not pitched since April 26 due to forearm inflammation and nerve irritation. He made just one rehab outing at High-A Inland Empire, yielding one run, via a homer, in one inning. He'll likely slot into a middle relief role upon his return, but once he reaches full health, he should act as the Angels' setup man. |
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| Ryan Brasier (P) ANA |
5/21/2013 |
| Brasier was sent down to Triple-A Salt Lake on Tuesday. |
Brasier was called up last Thursday with Sean Burnett (forearm) on the disabled list but failed to make in appearance out of the bullpen. Upon his return to Salt Lake, Brasier will continue to provide organizational relief depth. |
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| Scott Cousins (OF) ANA |
5/21/2013 |
| Cousins was outrighted to Triple-A Salt Lake on Monday, MLBTradeRumors.com reports. |
Cousins was designated for assignment Saturday in order to open a 40-man roster spot for infielder Chris Nelson. However, Cousins cleared waivers and will continue to provide organizational depth in the outfield. |
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Recent Los Angeles Angels Team News
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| RotoWire Update |
| ANA |
11/7/2005 |
| The Angels extended manager Mike Scioscia's contract through the 2009 season, with a club option for 2010, the LA Times reports. |
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6/24/2005 |
| The Angels enter Friday's play with the lowest ERA in the majors at 3.54, just a shade ahead of the White Sox (3.56). Minnesota and Cleveland are next, with St. Louis the best pitching team in the National League. |
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5/27/2005 |
| Despite the negative results from hitting coach Mickey Hatcher's "hack first, ask questions later" approach, Hatcher isn't in any danger of losing his job, the LA Daily News reports. Said manager Mike Scioscia: "We have a terrific staff. It's not an issue." |
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Roster
Majors
Aybar, Erick SS
Blanton, Joe P
Bourjos, Peter OF(15D DL)
Buckner, Billy P
Burnett, Sean P
Callaspo, Alberto 3B
Coello, Robert P
Conger, Hank C
De La Rosa, Dane P
Downs, Scott P(DTD)
Frieri, Ernesto P
Hamilton, Josh OF
Hanson, Tommy P(Out)
Harris, Brendan SS
Iannetta, Chris C
Jepsen, Kevin P(15D DL)
Kendrick, Howie 2B
Kohn, Michael P
Lowe, Mark P
Madson, Ryan P(15D DL)
Nelson, Chris 3B
Pujols, Albert 1B
Richards, Garrett P
Shuck, J.B. OF
Trout, Mike OF
Trumbo, Mark OF
Vargas, Jason P
Weaver, Jered P(15D DL)
Williams, Jerome P
Wilson, C.J. P
AAA
Brasier, Ryan P
Cabrera, Fernando P
Calhoun, Kole OF
Carlin, Luke C
Carpenter, David P
Cordero, Chad P
Cousins, Scott OF
Delaney, Robert P
Enright, Barry P
Field, Thomas SS(7-Day DL)
Hawpe, Brad OF
Hester, John C
Jimenez, Luis 3B
Lopez, Roberto OF
Navarro, Efren 1B
Oeltjen, Trent OF
Pena, Tony P(Out)
Ramirez, Elvin P
Rodriguez, Luis 2B
Romine, Andrew SS
Roth, Michael P
Schugel, AJ P(DTD)
Shoemaker, Matt P
Sisk, Brandon P(Out)
Stetter, Mitch P
Wells, Kip P
Young, Matt OF
AA
Auer, Tyson OF
Boshers, Buddy P
Chaffee, Ryan P
Cisco, Mike P
Correa, Manuarys P
Cowart, Kaleb 3B
Cron, C.J. 1B
Deeds, Doug OF
Gomez, Rolando SS
Grichuk, Randal OF
Haerther, Casey 1B
Heether, Adam 3B
Hynick, Brandon P
Judy, Josh P
Lindsey, Taylor SS
Long, Matt OF
Maronde, Nick P
McAnulty, Paul OF
Meyer, Matt P
Ramirez, Carlos C(Suspension)
Sarmiento, Elio C
Taylor, Andrew P(60D DL)
Tillman, Daniel P
Widlansky, Robert P
Witherspoon, Travis OF
A+
Alvarez, R.J. P
Borenstein, Zach 1B
Hernandez, Brian 3B
Kelley, Ty P
Reynolds, Danny P
Sneed, Kramer P
Snyder, Michael 3B
Wood, Austin P
Yarbrough, Alex 2B
A
Bedrosian, Cam P
Clarke, Chevez OF
Johnson, Kyle OF
Keudell, Alexander P
Soto, Wendell SS
Rookie
Bolden, Ryan OF
Clevinger, Mike P
Diemer, Brian P
Hatton, Wes 2B
Jang, Pil Joon P
Jung, Young-Il P
Locker, Jake OF
Russell, Max P
Sappington, Mark P
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